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Chuba Hubbard

CAR @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 88.5 at Fliff · median 87.5 ·

53Signal · under 88.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 16.0 a game recently
  • targets: 3.0 a game recently
  • vs GB · ×0.99 yds per carry

Expected rush + rec yards: 94.6 yds against 88.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 88.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -40 on the under
88.52025-12-14 at NO: 38, under 88.5 by 50.5 yds38NO2025-12-21 vs TB: 34, under 88.5 by 54.5 yds34TB2025-12-28 vs SEA: 18, under 88.5 by 70.5 yds18SEA2026-01-03 at TB: 17, under 88.5 by 71.5 yds17TB2026-09-13 vs CHI: 87, under 88.5 by 1.5 yds87CHI2026-09-20 at ATL: 64, under 88.5 by 24.5 yds64ATL2026-09-27 at CLE: 110, over 88.5 by 21.5 yds110CLE2026-10-04 vs DET: 129, over 88.5 by 40.5 yds129DET2026-10-18 at PHI: 121, over 88.5 by 32.5 yds121PHI2026-10-25 vs TB: 60, under 88.5 by 28.5 yds60TB
Each game against 88.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14NO38 under−50.5
2025-12-21TB34 under−54.5
2025-12-28SEA18 under−70.5
2026-01-03TB17 under−71.5
2026-09-13CHI87 under−1.5
2026-09-20ATL64 under−24.5
2026-09-27CLE110 over+21.5
2026-10-04DET129 over+40.5
2026-10-18PHI121 over+32.5
2026-10-25TB60 under−28.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 107 / 1070% under+21
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

8 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 88.5
  • Bally Bet 86.5
  • betPARX 86.5
  • BetRivers 86.5
  • DraftKings 87.5
  • PrizePicks 87.5
  • FanDuel 88.5 (easiest number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 88.5 (easiest number)
  • Fliff 88.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 88.5
2026-10-25vs TB60under
2026-10-18@ PHI121over
2026-10-04vs DET129over
2026-09-27@ CLE110over
2026-09-20@ ATL64under
2026-09-13vs CHI87under
2026-01-03@ TB17under
2025-12-28vs SEA18under
2025-12-21vs TB34under
2025-12-14@ NO38under
2025-11-30vs LA124over
2025-11-24@ SF43under
2025-11-16@ ATL28under
2025-11-09vs NO15under
2025-11-02@ GB17under
2025-10-26vs BUF34under
2025-10-19@ NYJ55under
2025-09-28@ NE69under
2025-09-21vs ATL76under
2025-09-14@ ARI77under
2025-09-07@ JAX89over