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Colby Parkinson
LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 22.5 at DraftKings ·
67Signal · over 22.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.6 a game recently
- vs LV · ×0.96 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 10.5 yds against 22.5 · over 33%, under 67%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 22.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -22| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | ARI | 32 over | +9.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 75 over | +52.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 21 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | ATL | 53 over | +30.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | ARI | 36 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 6 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG | 15 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DEN | 0 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 3 under | −19.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ARI | 31 over | +8.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
11 books · 4 yds spread
- BetMGM 20.5
- betPARX 22.5
- BetRivers 22.5
- DraftKings 22.5
- Bally Bet 22.5
- Fliff 22.5
- PrizePicks 22.5
- FanDuel 23.5
- Hard Rock Bet 23.5
- ESPN Bet 24.5
- Underdog 24.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 19.5 to 22.5
- FliffMoved from 19.5 to 22.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 19.5 to 22.5
- FanDuelMoved from 19.5 to 23.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 19.5 to 23.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs ARI | 31 | over |
| 2026-10-12 | vs BUF | 3 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DEN | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | vs NYG | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 6 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs ARI | 36 | over |
| 2025-12-29 | @ ATL | 53 | over |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 21 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 75 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 32 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 27 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 41 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SEA | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SF | 41 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs NO | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ JAX | 47 | over |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | -6 | under |