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Cole Kmet
CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 at betPARX ·
70%over7 / 10 · last 10
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.8 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.2 against 1.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CLE | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | GB | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DET | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | PHI | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | GB | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 2 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | 0 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.59 books, no line disagreementFD · MGM · PX2 · BR · BB · HR · DK · ESPN · FL· best price at 1.5: FD +178
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ GB | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-28 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 2 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DET | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | vs GB | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CLE | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-28 | @ PHI | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PIT | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NYG | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ CIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LV | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DAL | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-08 | vs MIN | 1 | under |