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D'Andre Swift
CHI vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ETRushing Yards · 61.5 · median of 13 books ·
47Signal · under 61.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
- Kyle Monangai RB is listed Out (thumb). He had 38% of CHI's carries this season, 15.0 a game over 4.
D'Andre's carries without Kyle Monangai: 12.5 a game (2 games), against 14.6 with him (20).
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 15.7 a game recently → 24.8 this game
- Monangai out · +9.1 carries (61% of his 15)
- Heavier load · ×1.04 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 109.1 yds against 61.5 · over 53%, under 47%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 61.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -62 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CLE | 98 over | +36.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | GB | 58 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SF | 54 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DET | 40 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CAR | 124 over | +62.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN | 45 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-09-28 | PHI | 84 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ | 58 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | GB | 43 under | −18.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | ATL | 44 under | −17.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | -3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
13 books · 5 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 64.5
- Underdog 59.5
- FanDuel 60.5
- Fanatics 60.5
- BetMGM 61.5
- betPARX 61.5
- BetRivers 61.5
- Fliff 61.5
- Bally Bet 61.5
- DK Pick6 61.5
- PrizePicks 61.5
- DraftKings 62.5
- Hard Rock Bet 63.5
- ESPN Bet 64.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 63.5 to 60.5
- Bally BetMoved from 63.5 to 61.5
- BetMGMMoved from 62.5 to 61.5
- betPARXMoved from 63.5 to 61.5
- BetRiversMoved from 63.5 to 61.5
- FliffMoved from 60.5 to 61.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 63.5 to 61.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 65.5 to 62.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 59.5 to 64.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 61.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ ATL | 44 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ GB | 43 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NYJ | 58 | under |
| 2026-09-28 | vs PHI | 84 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIN | 45 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ CAR | 124 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DET | 40 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ SF | 54 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | vs GB | 58 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs CLE | 98 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ GB | 63 | over |
| 2025-11-28 | @ PHI | 125 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PIT | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ MIN | 90 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NYG | 80 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ BAL | 45 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NO | 124 | over |
| 2025-10-13 | @ WAS | 108 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LV | 38 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs DAL | 33 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ DET | 63 | over |
| 2025-09-08 | vs MIN | 53 | under |