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Dak Prescott
DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ETCompletions · 24 at PrizePicks · median 23.5 ·
51Signal · under 2456% · 5 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 9Cleared the number in 4 of 9 games, 1 push
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 41.0 a game recently
Expected completions: 27.2 against 24 · over 51%, under 49% (if it doesn't land exactly on 24)
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 24 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -10 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 23 under | −1.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 21 under | −3.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 19 under | −5.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | NYG | 7 under | −17.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 22 under | −2.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | WAS | 26 over | +2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 25 over | +1.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 32 over | +8.0 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 24 push | +0.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 34 over | +10.0 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 9 | 56% under | +0.8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 56% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
8 books · 0.5 spreadEasiest number for the under: 24
- DraftKings 23.5
- Hard Rock Bet 23.5
- Fliff 23.5
- betPARX 23.5
- BetRivers 23.5
- Bally Bet 23.5
- Underdog 23.5
- PrizePicks 24 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
- betPARXMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
- BetRiversMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 22.5 to 24
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 24 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 34 | over |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 24 | push |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 32 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 25 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WAS | 26 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 22 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NYG | 7 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 21 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 23 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs KC | 27 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 23 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 25 | over |
| 2025-11-03 | vs ARI | 24 | push |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs WAS | 21 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 25 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NYJ | 18 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs GB | 31 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CHI | 31 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NYG | 38 | over |
| 2025-09-04 | @ PHI | 21 | under |