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Dak Prescott

DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET

Completions · 23.5 at Underdog ·

52Signal · over 23.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
5 straight over

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 41.0 a game recently

Expected completions: 27.2 against 23.5 · over 52%, under 48%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 23.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -16.5
23.52025-12-14 vs MIN: 23, under 23.5 by 0.523MIN2025-12-21 vs LAC: 21, under 23.5 by 2.521LAC2025-12-25 at WAS: 19, under 23.5 by 4.519WAS2026-01-04 at NYG: 7, under 23.5 by 16.57NYG2026-09-13 at NYG: 22, under 23.5 by 1.522NYG2026-09-20 vs WAS: 26, over 23.5 by 2.526WAS2026-09-27 vs BAL: 25, over 23.5 by 1.525BAL2026-10-04 at HOU: 32, over 23.5 by 8.532HOU2026-10-08 vs TB: 24, over 23.5 by 0.524TB2026-10-18 at GB: 34, over 23.5 by 10.534GB
Each game against 23.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14MIN23 under−0.5
2025-12-21LAC21 under−2.5
2025-12-25WAS19 under−4.5
2026-01-04NYG7 under−16.5
2026-09-13NYG22 under−1.5
2026-09-20WAS26 over+2.5
2026-09-27BAL25 over+1.5
2026-10-04HOU32 over+8.5
2026-10-08TB24 over+0.5
2026-10-18GB34 over+10.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%-0.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

8 books · 0.5 spread
  • DraftKings 23.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 23.5
  • Fliff 23.5
  • betPARX 23.5
  • BetRivers 23.5
  • Bally Bet 23.5
  • Underdog 23.5
  • PrizePicks 24

Line movement

  • Bally BetMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
  • betPARXMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
  • BetRiversMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
  • DraftKingsMoved from 24.5 to 23.5
  • PrizePicksMoved from 22.5 to 24

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 23.5
2026-10-18@ GB34over
2026-10-08vs TB24over
2026-10-04@ HOU32over
2026-09-27vs BAL25over
2026-09-20vs WAS26over
2026-09-13@ NYG22under
2026-01-04@ NYG7under
2025-12-25@ WAS19under
2025-12-21vs LAC21under
2025-12-14vs MIN23under
2025-12-04@ DET31over
2025-11-27vs KC27over
2025-11-23vs PHI23under
2025-11-17@ LV25over
2025-11-03vs ARI24over
2025-10-26@ DEN19under
2025-10-19vs WAS21under
2025-10-12@ CAR25over
2025-10-05@ NYJ18under
2025-09-28vs GB31over
2025-09-21@ CHI31over
2025-09-14vs NYG38over
2025-09-04@ PHI21under