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Daniel Bellinger
TEN @ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 at Bally Bet ·
60Signal · under 1.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
- Carnell Tate WR is listed Out (shoulder). He had 26% of TEN's targets this season, 7.3 a game over 7.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.6 a game recently
Expected receptions: 0.9 against 1.5 · over 40%, under 60%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | WAS | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | LV | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DAL | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PHI | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYG | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | IND | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | CLE | 1 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
1.58 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BR · BB · ESPN · DK · MGM · HR · FD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs CLE | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ IND | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NYG | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYJ | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs DAL | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ LV | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs WAS | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ CHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ DEN | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NO | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs LAC | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs KC | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ WAS | 1 | under |