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DeMario Douglas
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 37.5 at BetMGM · median 39.5 ·
70%under7 / 10 · last 10
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.0 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×1.07 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 41.6 yds against 37.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 37.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -48 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 0 under | −37.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 6 under | −31.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 10 under | −27.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 29 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | SEA | 20 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 9 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 38 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 15 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 65 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 86 over | +48.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +10 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
12 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 40.5
- BetMGM 37.5
- FanDuel 38.5
- betPARX 38.5
- BetRivers 38.5
- Bally Bet 38.5
- ESPN Bet 39.5
- DraftKings 39.5
- DK Pick6 39.5
- PrizePicks 39.5
- Underdog 39.5
- Hard Rock Bet 40.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 40.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 30.5 to 37.5
- Bally BetMoved from 29.5 to 38.5
- betPARXMoved from 29.5 to 38.5
- BetRiversMoved from 29.5 to 38.5
- FanDuelMoved from 35.5 to 38.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 27.5 to 39.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 29.5 to 39.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 35.5 to 39.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 27.5 to 39.5
- FliffMoved from 36.5 to 40.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 27.5 to 40.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 37.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 86 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 65 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 38 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 9 | under |
| 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | 20 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 29 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 10 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 6 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 33 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 37 | under |
| 2025-11-13 | vs NYJ | 36 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ TB | 34 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs ATL | 100 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 44 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 71 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 7 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 8 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | -2 | under |