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Drew Lock
SEA vs ARI · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing Yards · 213.5 · median of 12 books ·
70Signal · under 213.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 5Cleared the number in 1 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 14.1 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 122.7 yds against 213.5 · over 27%, under 73%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 213.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Sep 20, 2026
Worst miss -21 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-09-21 | NO | 15 under | −198.5 |
| 2025-11-09 | ARI | 0 under | −213.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | ATL | 0 under | −213.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | NE | 187 under | −26.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ARI | 235 over | +21.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 5 | 80% under | +126 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
12 books · 10 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 217.5
- Bally Bet 207.5
- betPARX 207.5
- BetRivers 207.5
- DraftKings 210.5
- DK Pick6 210.5
- Hard Rock Bet 213.5
- ESPN Bet 214.5
- Fliff 214.5
- FanDuel 215.5
- PrizePicks 215.5
- Underdog 215.5
- BetMGM 217.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 212.5 to 207.5
- betPARXMoved from 212.5 to 207.5
- BetRiversMoved from 212.5 to 207.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 212.5 to 210.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 214.5 to 213.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 209.5 to 214.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 213.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | @ ARI | 235 | over |
| 2026-09-09 | vs NE | 187 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 15 | under |