Eli Raridon
NE vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 26.5 at PrizePicks ·
- A.J. Brown WR is listed Out (ankle). He had 22% of NE's targets this season, 6.7 a game over 3.
Eli's targets without A.J. Brown: 3.0 a game (4 games), against 2.7 with him (3).
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.9 a game recently
- vs GB · ×0.93 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 23.0 yds against 26.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 26.5 · Sep 9, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -30 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-09 | SEA | 2 under | −24.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 30 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 12 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 57 over | +30.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 11 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-10-22 | CHI | 56 over | +29.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | MIA | 5 under | −21.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
- DraftKings 25.5
- FanDuel 26.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 26.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 26.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 26.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 26.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ MIA | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | @ CHI | 56 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 57 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 12 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 30 | over |
| 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | 2 | under |