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Emmett Johnson
KC vs NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 3.5 at PrizePicks ·
57Signal · under 3.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 2.9 a game recently
Expected carries: 2.9 against 3.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Sep 14, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -4.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 8 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 2 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 6 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LV | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC | 3 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | SEA | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | DEN | 1 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 7 | 71% under | +0.6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 71% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.52 books, no line disagreementFL · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ DEN | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | @ SEA | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ LV | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 6 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 8 | over |