← NFL board3 straight under
Harold Fannin Jr.
CLE @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 29.5 at betPARX ·
44Signal · over 29.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.0 a game recently
Expected receiving yards: 27.7 yds against 29.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 29.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -25| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 114 over | +84.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 48 over | +18.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 34 over | +4.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | PIT | 30 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 21 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 54 over | +24.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 51 over | +21.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 27 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 4 under | −25.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL | 9 under | −20.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +10 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 29.5 · best price FD -114
- FanDuel 29.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetMGM 29.5 -115 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 29.5 -115 (easiest number)
- ESPN Bet 29.5 -120 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 29.5 -127 (easiest number)
- betPARX 29.5 -127 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 29.5 -127 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 30.5 -111
- Fliff 30.5 -115
- PrizePicks 30.5
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 32.5 to 30.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs BAL | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 27 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 51 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 54 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 21 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs PIT | 30 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 34 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 48 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 114 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 43 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 40 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 26 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ NYJ | 44 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NE | 62 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs MIA | 36 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ PIT | 81 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIN | 13 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DET | 24 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs GB | 25 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ BAL | 48 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs CIN | 63 | over |