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Harold Fannin Jr.

CLE @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 30.5 at PrizePicks · median 29.5 ·

56Signal · over 30.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
3 straight under

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 5.0 a game recently

Expected receiving yards: 27.7 yds against 30.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 30.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -26
30.52025-12-07 vs TEN: 114, over 30.5 by 83.5 yds114TEN2025-12-14 at CHI: 48, over 30.5 by 17.5 yds48CHI2025-12-21 vs BUF: 34, over 30.5 by 3.5 yds34BUF2025-12-28 vs PIT: 30, under 30.5 by 0.5 yds30PIT2026-09-13 at JAX: 21, under 30.5 by 9.5 yds21JAX2026-09-20 at TB: 54, over 30.5 by 23.5 yds54TB2026-09-27 vs CAR: 51, over 30.5 by 20.5 yds51CAR2026-10-01 vs PIT: 27, under 30.5 by 3.5 yds27PIT2026-10-11 at NYJ: 4, under 30.5 by 26.5 yds4NYJ2026-10-18 vs BAL: 9, under 30.5 by 21.5 yds9BAL
Each game against 30.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-07TEN114 over+83.5
2025-12-14CHI48 over+17.5
2025-12-21BUF34 over+3.5
2025-12-28PIT30 under−0.5
2026-09-13JAX21 under−9.5
2026-09-20TB54 over+23.5
2026-09-27CAR51 over+20.5
2026-10-01PIT27 under−3.5
2026-10-11NYJ4 under−26.5
2026-10-18BAL9 under−21.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%+9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

10 books · 1 yds spread
  • FanDuel 29.5
  • BetMGM 29.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 29.5
  • ESPN Bet 29.5
  • Bally Bet 29.5
  • betPARX 29.5
  • BetRivers 29.5
  • DraftKings 30.5
  • Fliff 30.5
  • PrizePicks 30.5

Line movement

  • PrizePicksMoved from 32.5 to 30.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 30.5
2026-10-18vs BAL9under
2026-10-11@ NYJ4under
2026-10-01vs PIT27under
2026-09-27vs CAR51over
2026-09-20@ TB54over
2026-09-13@ JAX21under
2025-12-28vs PIT30under
2025-12-21vs BUF34over
2025-12-14@ CHI48over
2025-12-07vs TEN114over
2025-11-30vs SF43over
2025-11-23@ LV40over
2025-11-16vs BAL26under
2025-11-09@ NYJ44over
2025-10-26@ NE62over
2025-10-19vs MIA36over
2025-10-12@ PIT81over
2025-10-05vs MIN13under
2025-09-28@ DET24under
2025-09-21vs GB25under
2025-09-14@ BAL48over
2025-09-07vs CIN63over