← NFL board3 straight over
Hunter Henry
NE @ CHI · Thu 8:15 PM ETReceiving Yards · 35.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
60%over6 / 10 · last 10
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.0 a game recently
- vs CHI · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 37.3 yds against 35.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 35.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -30| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | BUF | 18 under | −17.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BAL | 35 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 49 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 56 over | +20.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | SEA | 26 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 40 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 5 under | −30.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 62 over | +26.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV | 44 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ | 48 over | +12.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 33.5 · best price PX2 -110
- betPARX 33.5 -110 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 33.5 -112 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 33.5 -113 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 33.5 -115 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 33.5 -120 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 35.5 -113
- Hard Rock Bet 35.5 -115
- Fliff 35.5 -120
- DK Pick6 35.5
- ESPN Bet 36.5 -105
- PrizePicks 36.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 32.5 to 35.5
- FliffMoved from 33.5 to 35.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 32.5 to 35.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 33.5 to 35.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 31.5 to 36.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 32.5 to 36.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 35.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs NYJ | 48 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs LV | 44 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 62 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 40 | over |
| 2026-09-09 | @ SEA | 26 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 56 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 49 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | @ BAL | 35 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs BUF | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-01 | vs NYG | 73 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ CIN | 115 | over |
| 2025-11-13 | vs NYJ | 45 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ TB | 9 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs ATL | 51 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs CLE | 7 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ TEN | 33 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NO | 27 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BUF | 46 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CAR | 39 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs PIT | 90 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ MIA | 9 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs LV | 66 | over |