← NFL board

Jacoby Brissett

ARI @ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Carries · 2.5 · median of 2 books ·

51Signal · over 2.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 3.7 a game recently

Expected carries: 3.7 against 2.5 · over 51%, under 49%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 2.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -2.5
2.52025-12-21 vs ATL: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51ATL2025-12-28 at CIN: 0, under 2.5 by 2.50CIN2026-01-04 at LA: 3, over 2.5 by 0.53LA2026-09-13 at LAC: 6, over 2.5 by 3.56LAC2026-09-20 vs SEA: 1, under 2.5 by 1.51SEA2026-09-27 at SF: 4, over 2.5 by 1.54SF2026-10-04 at NYG: 4, over 2.5 by 1.54NYG2026-10-11 vs DET: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52DET2026-10-18 at LA: 2, under 2.5 by 0.52LA2026-10-25 vs DEN: 7, over 2.5 by 4.57DEN
Each game against 2.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-21ATL1 under−1.5
2025-12-28CIN0 under−2.5
2026-01-04LA3 over+0.5
2026-09-13LAC6 over+3.5
2026-09-20SEA1 under−1.5
2026-09-27SF4 over+1.5
2026-10-04NYG4 over+1.5
2026-10-11DET2 under−0.5
2026-10-18LA2 under−0.5
2026-10-25DEN7 over+4.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%+0.5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

2.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 2.5
2026-10-25vs DEN7over
2026-10-18@ LA2under
2026-10-11vs DET2under
2026-10-04@ NYG4over
2026-09-27@ SF4over
2026-09-20vs SEA1under
2026-09-13@ LAC6over
2026-01-04@ LA3over
2025-12-28@ CIN0under
2025-12-21vs ATL1under
2025-12-14@ HOU3over
2025-12-07vs LA4over
2025-11-30@ TB3over
2025-11-23vs JAX3over
2025-11-16vs SF2under
2025-11-09@ SEA4over
2025-11-03@ DAL5over
2025-10-19vs GB6over
2025-10-12@ IND3over
2025-10-05vs TEN0under
2025-09-14vs CAR1under