← NFL board3 straight over
Jacoby Brissett
ARI vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ETInterceptions Thrown · 0.5 · median of 8 books ·
50Signal · over 0.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 39.0 a game recently
Expected interceptions thrown: 1.0 against 0.5 · over 50%, under 50%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | HOU | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | ATL | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CIN | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | LA | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | LAC | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SEA | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | SF | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYG | 3 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DET | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LA | 1 over | +0.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +0.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
0.58 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · BB · PX2 · BR · FL · PP · UD· best price at 0.5: DK, HR -115
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ LA | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DET | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ NYG | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs SEA | 1 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LAC | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ LA | 1 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs ATL | 1 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ HOU | 1 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs LA | 1 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ TB | 1 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs JAX | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SF | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ SEA | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-03 | @ DAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ IND | 1 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CAR | 0 | under |