← NFL board
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETCarries · 20 at PrizePicks · median 20.5 ·
52Signal · under 2078% · 7 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 9Cleared the number in 2 of 9 games, 1 push
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 21.0 a game recently
Expected carries: 21.0 against 20 · over 48%, under 52% (if it doesn't land exactly on 20)
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 20 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -9 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 12 under | −8.0 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 13 under | −7.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 7 under | −13.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 17 under | −3.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 19 under | −1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 29 over | +9.0 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 16 under | −4.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 20 push | +0.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 15 under | −5.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 25 over | +5.0 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 9 | 78% under | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 78% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
7 books · 0.5 spreadEasiest number for the under: 20.5
- PrizePicks 20
- DraftKings 20.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 20.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 20.5 (easiest number)
- betPARX 20.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 20.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 20.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 20.5 to 20
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 15 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 20 | push |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 16 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 29 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 17 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 7 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 13 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 12 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 20 | push |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 12 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 9 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 15 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 22 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 9 | under |