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Jahmyr Gibbs
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 39.5 at betPARX ·
54Signal · under 39.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.8 a game recently
- vs GB · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 49.0 yds against 39.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 39.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -19| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 77 over | +37.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 20 under | −19.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 66 over | +26.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 23 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 33 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 30 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 61 over | +21.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 65 over | +25.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 31 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 56 over | +16.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spread
- DraftKings 37.5
- FanDuel 38.5
- Hard Rock Bet 38.5
- Fliff 38.5
- PrizePicks 38.5
- ESPN Bet 39.5
- betPARX 39.5
- BetRivers 39.5
- Bally Bet 39.5
- BetMGM 39.5
- Underdog 39.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 38.5 to 37.5
- Bally BetMoved from 38.5 to 39.5
- betPARXMoved from 38.5 to 39.5
- BetRiversMoved from 38.5 to 39.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 39.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 56 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 31 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 65 | over |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 61 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 30 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 33 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 23 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 66 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 20 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 77 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 45 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 107 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 30 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 82 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 33 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 6 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 32 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 31 | under |