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Jalen Brooks
ARI vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 at ESPN Bet ·
45Signal · over 1.560% · 3 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 5Cleared the number in 3 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.7 a game recently → 4.0 this game
- WR3 on the depth chart (usually WR4+) · ×1.08 targets
Expected receptions: 1.4 against 1.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-12-07 | LA | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | HOU | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | SF | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DET | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LA | 2 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 5 | 60% over | -0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
1.58 books, no line disagreementESPN · HR · DK · FD · FL · BB · PX2 · BR· best price at 1.5: ESPN, HR -130
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ LA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DET | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ HOU | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs LA | 2 | over |