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Javonte Williams
DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 at betPARX ·
51Signal · under 2.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.7 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.2 against 2.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DET | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 5 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | WAS | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 5 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 2 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
2.59 books, no line disagreementDK · ESPN · FD · HR · PX2 · BR · BB · MGM · FL
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 5 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WAS | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 5 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs KC | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-03 | vs ARI | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs WAS | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 5 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NYJ | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs GB | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CHI | 5 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NYG | 6 | over |
| 2025-09-04 | @ PHI | 2 | under |