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Javonte Williams
DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 82.5 at PrizePicks ·
58Signal · under 82.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 14.2 a game recently
- targets: 3.7 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×0.98 yds per carry
- vs PHI · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 69.2 yds against 82.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 82.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -20 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DET | 67 under | −15.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 91 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 43 under | −39.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 54 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 72 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | WAS | 50 under | −32.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 103 over | +20.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 83 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 62 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 50 under | −32.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +15 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
9 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 82.5
- Bally Bet 80.5
- betPARX 80.5
- BetRivers 80.5
- DraftKings 81.5
- FanDuel 82.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 82.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 82.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 82.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 82.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 82.5 to 80.5
- betPARXMoved from 82.5 to 80.5
- BetRiversMoved from 82.5 to 80.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 82.5 to 81.5
- BetMGMMoved from 80.5 to 82.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 82.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 50 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 62 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 83 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 103 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WAS | 50 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 72 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 54 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 43 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 91 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 67 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs KC | 80 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 101 | over |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 93 | over |
| 2025-11-03 | vs ARI | 83 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 49 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs WAS | 118 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 34 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NYJ | 139 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs GB | 100 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CHI | 92 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NYG | 130 | over |
| 2025-09-04 | @ PHI | 64 | under |