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Javonte Williams
DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ETRushing Yards · 65.5 at Fanatics ·
59Signal · under 65.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 14.2 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×0.98 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 51.7 yds against 65.5 · over 41%, under 59%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 65.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -32 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DET | 67 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 91 over | +25.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 34 under | −31.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 54 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 41 under | −24.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | WAS | 30 under | −35.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 98 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 62 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 45 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 41 under | −24.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 66.5
- Hard Rock Bet 64.5
- ESPN Bet 64.5
- DraftKings 65.5
- Fanatics 65.5
- betPARX 65.5
- BetRivers 65.5
- FanDuel 65.5
- Bally Bet 65.5
- Fliff 65.5
- PrizePicks 65.5
- BetMGM 66.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- ESPN BetMoved from 65.5 to 64.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 66.5 to 64.5
- Bally BetMoved from 67.5 to 65.5
- betPARXMoved from 67.5 to 65.5
- BetRiversMoved from 67.5 to 65.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 67.5 to 65.5
- FanDuelMoved from 66.5 to 65.5
- FliffMoved from 66.5 to 65.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 69.5 to 65.5
- BetMGMMoved from 65.5 to 66.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 65.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 41 | under |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 45 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 62 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 98 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WAS | 30 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 41 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 54 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 34 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 91 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 67 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs KC | 59 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 87 | over |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 93 | over |
| 2025-11-03 | vs ARI | 83 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 41 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs WAS | 116 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 29 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NYJ | 135 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs GB | 85 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CHI | 76 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NYG | 97 | over |
| 2025-09-04 | @ PHI | 54 | under |