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Jaylen Wright
MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 16.5 at ESPN Bet · median 15.5 ·
69Signal · under 16.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 4.0 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 7.2 yds against 16.5 · over 31%, under 69%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 16.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -90 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | NYJ | 107 over | +90.5 |
| 2025-12-15 | PIT | 2 under | −14.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CIN | 35 over | +18.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TB | 56 over | +39.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NE | 23 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | LV | -1 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SF | 11 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN | 7 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN | 11 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NYJ | 8 under | −8.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 16.5
- Bally Bet 14.5
- betPARX 14.5
- BetRivers 14.5
- DraftKings 15.5
- FanDuel 15.5
- Hard Rock Bet 15.5
- Fanatics 15.5
- DK Pick6 15.5
- PrizePicks 15.5
- ESPN Bet 16.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 16.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
- FanDuelMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 14.5 to 15.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 17.5 to 15.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ NYJ | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CIN | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIN | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ SF | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LV | -1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NE | 23 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs TB | 56 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs CIN | 35 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | @ PIT | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ NYJ | 107 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs NO | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs WAS | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BUF | 17 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ ATL | 28 | over |