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Jaylen Wright
MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ETRushing Yards · 15.5 at FanDuel ·
68Signal · under 15.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 4.0 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 7.2 yds against 15.5 · over 32%, under 68%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 15.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -91 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | NYJ | 107 over | +91.5 |
| 2025-12-15 | PIT | 2 under | −13.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CIN | 35 over | +19.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | TB | 56 over | +40.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NE | 23 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | LV | -1 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SF | 11 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN | 7 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN | 11 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NYJ | 8 under | −7.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -10 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 16.5
- Bally Bet 14.5
- betPARX 14.5
- BetRivers 14.5
- DraftKings 15.5
- FanDuel 15.5
- Hard Rock Bet 15.5
- Fanatics 15.5
- DK Pick6 15.5
- PrizePicks 15.5
- ESPN Bet 16.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 16.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
- FanDuelMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 16.5 to 15.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 14.5 to 15.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 17.5 to 15.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ NYJ | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CIN | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIN | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ SF | 11 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LV | -1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NE | 23 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs TB | 56 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs CIN | 35 | over |
| 2025-12-15 | @ PIT | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ NYJ | 107 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs NO | 16 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs WAS | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BUF | 17 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ ATL | 28 | over |