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Jonathan Taylor
IND @ MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 18.5 at Fanatics ·
49Signal · over 18.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 20.3 a game recently
Expected carries: 20.3 against 18.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 18.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -4.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SEA | 25 over | +6.5 |
| 2025-12-22 | SF | 16 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | JAX | 21 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | HOU | 14 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BAL | 19 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | KC | 24 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | HOU | 23 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS | 20 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PIT | 15 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TEN | 21 over | +2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +1.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
7 books · 0.5 spreadEasiest number for the over: 18
- PrizePicks 18 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 18.5 -103
- Hard Rock Bet 18.5 -105
- Fanatics 18.5 -110
- Fliff 18.5 -110
- betPARX 18.5 -112
- Bally Bet 18.5 -117
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 18.5 to 18
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 18.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs TEN | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ PIT | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ WAS | 20 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs HOU | 23 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ KC | 24 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | 19 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ HOU | 14 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs JAX | 21 | over |
| 2025-12-22 | vs SF | 16 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SEA | 25 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ JAX | 21 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs HOU | 21 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ KC | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ATL | 32 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ PIT | 14 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TEN | 12 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ LAC | 16 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs ARI | 21 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs LV | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LA | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TEN | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs DEN | 25 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs MIA | 18 | under |