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Jonathan Taylor
IND @ MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 92.5 at BetRivers ·
53Signal · under 92.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 20.3 a game recently
- targets: 3.8 a game recently
- vs MIN · ×0.95 yds per carry
- vs MIN · ×0.96 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 103.9 yds against 92.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 92.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -53| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SEA | 101 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-22 | SF | 79 under | −13.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | JAX | 84 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | HOU | 39 under | −53.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BAL | 121 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | KC | 132 over | +39.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | HOU | 72 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS | 97 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PIT | 82 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TEN | 151 over | +58.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
9 books · 4 yds spread
- DraftKings 90.5
- PrizePicks 90.5
- Bally Bet 92.5
- betPARX 92.5
- BetRivers 92.5
- Fliff 92.5
- Hard Rock Bet 93.5
- FanDuel 94.5
- Underdog 94.5
Line movement
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 91.5 to 93.5
- FanDuelMoved from 93.5 to 94.5
- UnderdogMoved from 99.5 to 94.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 92.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs TEN | 151 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ PIT | 82 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ WAS | 97 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs HOU | 72 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ KC | 132 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | 121 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ HOU | 39 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs JAX | 84 | under |
| 2025-12-22 | vs SF | 79 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SEA | 101 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ JAX | 74 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs HOU | 121 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ KC | 66 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ATL | 286 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ PIT | 57 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TEN | 174 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ LAC | 132 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs ARI | 137 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs LV | 86 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LA | 96 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TEN | 118 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs DEN | 215 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs MIA | 98 | over |