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Jonathan Taylor
IND @ MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 68.5 at BetMGM · median 70.5 ·
47Signal · over 68.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 20.3 a game recently
- vs MIN · ×0.95 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 77.9 yds against 68.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 68.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -42| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SEA | 87 over | +18.5 |
| 2025-12-22 | SF | 46 under | −22.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | JAX | 70 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | HOU | 26 under | −42.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BAL | 98 over | +29.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | KC | 92 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | HOU | 68 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS | 95 over | +26.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | PIT | 45 under | −23.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | TEN | 94 over | +25.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 68.5
- BetMGM 68.5 -115 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 69.5 -110
- ESPN Bet 69.5 -110
- Hard Rock Bet 70.5 -115
- Fanatics 70.5 -120
- Fliff 70.5 -120
- betPARX 71.5 -114
- FanDuel 71.5 -114
- BetRivers 71.5 -115
- Bally Bet 71.5 -120
- PrizePicks 71.5
Line movement
- FliffMoved from 71.5 to 70.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 76.5 to 71.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 68.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs TEN | 94 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ PIT | 45 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ WAS | 95 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs HOU | 68 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ KC | 92 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | 98 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ HOU | 26 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs JAX | 70 | over |
| 2025-12-22 | vs SF | 46 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SEA | 87 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ JAX | 74 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs HOU | 85 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ KC | 58 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ATL | 244 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ PIT | 45 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs TEN | 153 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ LAC | 94 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs ARI | 123 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs LV | 66 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ LA | 76 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ TEN | 102 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs DEN | 165 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs MIA | 71 | over |