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Jordan Whittington
LA @ LV · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 6.5 at Fliff ·
60%over6 / 10 · last 10
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.4 a game recently
- vs LV · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 7.6 yds against 6.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 6.5 · Oct 12, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -6| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | BAL | 23 over | +16.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | JAX | 9 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | SEA | 9 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-11-23 | TB | 17 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR | 0 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | ARI | 5 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DET | 0 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | SEA | 19 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF | 8 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI | 4 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
6 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 6.5 · best price DK -115
- DraftKings 6.5 -115 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetMGM 6.5 -120 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 6.5 -120 (easiest number)
- Fliff 6.5 -125 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 6.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 7.5 -113
Line movement
- FliffMoved from 7.5 to 6.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 7.5 to 6.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | @ PHI | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-10 | vs SF | 8 | over |
| 2025-12-18 | @ SEA | 19 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs DET | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ARI | 5 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs TB | 17 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs SEA | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ JAX | 9 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ BAL | 23 | over |
| 2025-10-02 | vs SF | 33 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs IND | 7 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ PHI | 7 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ TEN | 42 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs HOU | 0 | under |