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Kenneth Walker III
KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 108.5 at FanDuel · median 110.5 ·
49Signal · over 108.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 20.0 a game recently
- targets: 4.5 a game recently
- vs DEN · ×0.98 yds per carry
- vs DEN · ×0.96 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 133.4 yds against 108.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 108.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -89| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | IND | 19 under | −89.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | LA | 164 over | +55.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR | 57 under | −51.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | SF | 133 over | +24.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 191 over | +82.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 178 over | +69.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 73 under | −35.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LV | 179 over | +70.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC | 139 over | +30.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | SEA | 57 under | −51.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +11 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
8 books · 6 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 108.5
- FanDuel 108.5 -114 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 110.5 -115
- BetMGM 110.5 -115
- betPARX 110.5 -115
- Hard Rock Bet 110.5 -115
- BetRivers 110.5 -117
- PrizePicks 110.5
- DraftKings 114.5 -114
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 109.5 to 108.5
- Bally BetMoved from 106.5 to 110.5
- BetMGMMoved from 109.5 to 110.5
- betPARXMoved from 106.5 to 110.5
- BetRiversMoved from 106.5 to 110.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 109.5 to 110.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 109.5 to 110.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 112.5 to 114.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 108.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ SEA | 57 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs LAC | 139 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ LV | 179 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 73 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 178 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 191 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ SF | 133 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CAR | 57 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | vs LA | 164 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs IND | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 28 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs MIN | 74 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ TEN | 101 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ LA | 111 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 70 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 61 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs HOU | 66 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ JAX | 37 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 86 | under |
| 2025-09-25 | @ ARI | 110 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 50 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ PIT | 118 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs SF | 24 | under |