← NFL board
Kenneth Walker III
KC @ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 110.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
48Signal · over 110.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 20.0 a game recently
- targets: 4.5 a game recently
- vs DEN · ×0.98 yds per carry
- vs DEN · ×0.96 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 133.4 yds against 110.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 110.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -91| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | IND | 19 under | −91.5 |
| 2025-12-18 | LA | 164 over | +53.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | CAR | 57 under | −53.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | SF | 133 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN | 191 over | +80.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | IND | 178 over | +67.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | MIA | 73 under | −37.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | LV | 179 over | +68.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC | 139 over | +28.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | SEA | 57 under | −53.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
8 books · 6 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 108.5
- FanDuel 108.5 -114 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 110.5 -115
- BetMGM 110.5 -115
- betPARX 110.5 -115
- Hard Rock Bet 110.5 -115
- BetRivers 110.5 -117
- PrizePicks 110.5
- DraftKings 114.5 -114
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 109.5 to 108.5
- Bally BetMoved from 106.5 to 110.5
- BetMGMMoved from 109.5 to 110.5
- betPARXMoved from 106.5 to 110.5
- BetRiversMoved from 106.5 to 110.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 109.5 to 110.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 109.5 to 110.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 112.5 to 114.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 110.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ SEA | 57 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs LAC | 139 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ LV | 179 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ MIA | 73 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs IND | 178 | over |
| 2026-09-14 | vs DEN | 191 | over |
| 2026-01-03 | @ SF | 133 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | @ CAR | 57 | under |
| 2025-12-18 | vs LA | 164 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs IND | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ ATL | 28 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs MIN | 74 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ TEN | 101 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ LA | 111 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs ARI | 70 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ WAS | 61 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | vs HOU | 66 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ JAX | 37 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs TB | 86 | under |
| 2025-09-25 | @ ARI | 110 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NO | 50 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ PIT | 118 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs SF | 24 | under |