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Kenny Gainwell

TB vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable

Rush + Rec Yards · 30.5 · median of 7 books ·

56Signal · under 30.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

Listed questionable with a hip injury on the week 8 report, full practice. Everything below is history, and history is a weaker guide when a player is listed. Report checked Oct 31, 12:31 PM ET.

  • Emeka Egbuka WR is listed Out (foot). He had 26% of TB's targets this season, 8.2 a game over 6.

The game history below does not account for this absence.

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 4.7 a game recently → 3.9 this game
  • targets: 2.4 a game recently → 2.0 this game
  • Questionable · ×0.82 carries
  • vs ATL · ×1.01 yds per carry
  • Questionable · ×0.82 targets
  • vs ATL · ×0.99 yds per target

Expected rush + rec yards: 27.4 yds against 30.5 · over 44%, under 56%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 30.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -97 on the under
30.52025-12-21 at DET: 128, over 30.5 by 97.5 yds128DET2025-12-28 at CLE: 38, over 30.5 by 7.5 yds38CLE2026-01-04 vs BAL: 74, over 30.5 by 43.5 yds74BAL2026-09-13 at CIN: 18, under 30.5 by 12.5 yds18CIN2026-09-20 vs CLE: 15, under 30.5 by 15.5 yds15CLE2026-09-27 vs MIN: 10, under 30.5 by 20.5 yds10MIN2026-10-04 vs GB: 27, under 30.5 by 3.5 yds27GB2026-10-08 at DAL: 28, under 30.5 by 2.5 yds28DAL2026-10-18 vs PIT: 24, under 30.5 by 6.5 yds24PIT2026-10-25 at CAR: 88, over 30.5 by 57.5 yds88CAR
Each game against 30.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-21DET128 over+97.5
2025-12-28CLE38 over+7.5
2026-01-04BAL74 over+43.5
2026-09-13CIN18 under−12.5
2026-09-20CLE15 under−15.5
2026-09-27MIN10 under−20.5
2026-10-04GB27 under−3.5
2026-10-08DAL28 under−2.5
2026-10-18PIT24 under−6.5
2026-10-25CAR88 over+57.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under-14
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

7 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 31.5
  • FanDuel 30.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 30.5
  • DraftKings 30.5
  • PrizePicks 30.5
  • Bally Bet 31.5 (easiest number)
  • betPARX 31.5 (easiest number)
  • BetRivers 31.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 30.5
2026-10-25@ CAR88over
2026-10-18vs PIT24under
2026-10-08@ DAL28under
2026-10-04vs GB27under
2026-09-27vs MIN10under
2026-09-20vs CLE15under
2026-09-13@ CIN18under
2026-01-04vs BAL74over
2025-12-28@ CLE38over
2025-12-21@ DET128over
2025-12-15vs MIA126over
2025-12-07@ BAL42over
2025-11-30vs BUF45over
2025-11-23@ CHI122over
2025-11-16vs CIN105over
2025-11-09@ LAC4under
2025-11-02vs IND34over
2025-10-26vs GB35over
2025-10-16@ CIN15under
2025-10-12vs CLE36over
2025-09-28vs MIN134over
2025-09-21@ NE26under
2025-09-14vs SEA36over
2025-09-07@ NYJ23under