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Keon Coleman
BUF vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 30.5 at betPARX ·
51Signal · over 30.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.0 a game recently
- vs BAL · ×1.03 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 48.7 yds against 30.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 30.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -29| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | MIA | 46 over | +15.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | PIT | 9 under | −21.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CIN | 16 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NYJ | 49 over | +18.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | HOU | 1 under | −29.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | DET | 63 over | +32.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LAC | 37 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NE | 116 over | +85.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | LA | 7 under | −23.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LV | 59 over | +28.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +10 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
8 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 30.5 · best price FD -114
- FanDuel 30.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Hard Rock Bet 30.5 -115 (easiest number)
- betPARX 30.5 -117 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 30.5 -118 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 30.5 -122 (easiest number)
- Fliff 30.5 -125 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 30.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 31.5 -114
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 45.5 to 30.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 30.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ LV | 59 | over |
| 2026-10-12 | @ LA | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NE | 116 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LAC | 37 | over |
| 2026-09-17 | vs DET | 63 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NYJ | 49 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CIN | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ PIT | 9 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ MIA | 46 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs KC | 17 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ CAR | 30 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ ATL | 11 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs NE | 23 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs NO | 45 | over |
| 2025-09-18 | vs MIA | 20 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ NYJ | 26 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs BAL | 112 | over |