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Kimani Vidal

LAC @ LA · Sun 4:05 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 7.5 at FanDuel ·

48Signal · over 7.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.0 a game recently
  • vs LA · ×1.02 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 10.9 yds against 7.5 · over 48%, under 52%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 7.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -9
7.52025-11-16 at JAX: -1, under 7.5 by 8.5 yds-1JAX2025-11-30 vs LV: 11, over 7.5 by 3.5 yds11LV2025-12-08 vs PHI: 60, over 7.5 by 52.5 yds60PHI2025-12-14 at KC: 15, over 7.5 by 7.5 yds15KC2025-12-21 at DAL: 0, under 7.5 by 7.5 yds0DAL2026-01-04 at DEN: -2, under 7.5 by 9.5 yds-2DEN2026-09-27 at BUF: 14, over 7.5 by 6.5 yds14BUF2026-10-04 at SEA: 11, over 7.5 by 3.5 yds11SEA2026-10-11 vs DEN: -1, under 7.5 by 8.5 yds-1DEN2026-10-18 at KC: 19, over 7.5 by 11.5 yds19KC
Each game against 7.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-16JAX-1 under−8.5
2025-11-30LV11 over+3.5
2025-12-08PHI60 over+52.5
2025-12-14KC15 over+7.5
2025-12-21DAL0 under−7.5
2026-01-04DEN-2 under−9.5
2026-09-27BUF14 over+6.5
2026-10-04SEA11 over+3.5
2026-10-11DEN-1 under−8.5
2026-10-18KC19 over+11.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% over+5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

9 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 7.5 · best price PX2 -110
  • betPARX 7.5 -110 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • BetRivers 7.5 -112 (easiest number)
  • FanDuel 7.5 -114 (easiest number)
  • Bally Bet 7.5 -115 (easiest number)
  • BetMGM 7.5 -120 (easiest number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 7.5 -120 (easiest number)
  • PrizePicks 7.5 (easiest number)
  • DraftKings 8.5 -107
  • DK Pick6 8.5

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 7.5
2026-10-18@ KC19over
2026-10-11vs DEN-1under
2026-10-04@ SEA11over
2026-09-27@ BUF14over
2026-01-04@ DEN-2under
2025-12-21@ DAL0under
2025-12-14@ KC15over
2025-12-08vs PHI60over
2025-11-30vs LV11over
2025-11-16@ JAX-1under
2025-11-09vs PIT13over
2025-11-02@ TEN0under
2025-10-23vs MIN10over
2025-10-19vs IND15over
2025-10-12@ MIA14over
2025-10-05vs WAS1under