← NFL board
Kimani Vidal
LAC @ LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceiving Yards · 7.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·
48Signal · over 7.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.0 a game recently
- vs LA · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 10.9 yds against 7.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 7.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -9| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | JAX | -1 under | −8.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LV | 11 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | PHI | 60 over | +52.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | KC | 15 over | +7.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL | 0 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DEN | -2 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BUF | 14 over | +6.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 11 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DEN | -1 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | KC | 19 over | +11.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | +5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
9 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 7.5 · best price PX2 -110
- betPARX 7.5 -110 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 7.5 -112 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 7.5 -114 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 7.5 -115 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 7.5 -120 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 7.5 -120 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 7.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 8.5 -107
- DK Pick6 8.5
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 7.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ KC | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DEN | -1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 11 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ BUF | 14 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ DEN | -2 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ KC | 15 | over |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 60 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 11 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | -1 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 13 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-23 | vs MIN | 10 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 15 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ MIA | 14 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs WAS | 1 | under |