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Kirk Cousins
LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ETCompletions · 21 at PrizePicks · median 20.5 ·
51Signal · under 2150% · 4 / 8 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 8Cleared the number in 4 of 8 games, 2 pushes
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 36.7 a game recently
Expected completions: 23.0 against 21 · over 49%, under 51% (if it doesn't land exactly on 21)
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 21 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -8| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | ARI | 21 push | +0.0 |
| 2025-12-29 | LA | 13 under | −8.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | NO | 18 under | −3.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 21 push | +0.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 19 under | −2.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 22 over | +1.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 31 over | +10.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 19 under | −2.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 23 over | +2.0 |
| 2026-10-25 | LA | 26 over | +5.0 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 8 | 50% | +0.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
8 books · 0.5 spread
- DraftKings 20.5
- betPARX 20.5
- BetRivers 20.5
- ESPN Bet 20.5
- Hard Rock Bet 20.5
- Fliff 20.5
- Bally Bet 20.5
- PrizePicks 21
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs LA | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 31 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 22 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 19 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 21 | push |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NO | 18 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | vs LA | 13 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | 21 | push |
| 2025-12-11 | @ TB | 30 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs SEA | 15 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ NYJ | 21 | push |
| 2025-11-23 | @ NO | 16 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | 6 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs MIA | 21 | push |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | 5 | under |