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Kirk Cousins

LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 33.5 at PrizePicks ·

50Signal · under 33.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 36.7 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 36.7 against 33.5 · over 50%, under 50%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 33.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -18.5 on the under
33.52025-12-21 at ARI: 35, over 33.5 by 1.535ARI2025-12-29 vs LA: 20, under 33.5 by 13.520LA2026-01-04 vs NO: 32, under 33.5 by 1.532NO2026-09-13 vs MIA: 30, under 33.5 by 3.530MIA2026-09-20 at LAC: 29, under 33.5 by 4.529LAC2026-09-27 at NO: 33, under 33.5 by 0.533NO2026-10-04 vs KC: 52, over 33.5 by 18.552KC2026-10-11 at NE: 28, under 33.5 by 5.528NE2026-10-18 vs BUF: 41, over 33.5 by 7.541BUF2026-10-25 vs LA: 44, over 33.5 by 10.544LA
Each game against 33.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-21ARI35 over+1.5
2025-12-29LA20 under−13.5
2026-01-04NO32 under−1.5
2026-09-13MIA30 under−3.5
2026-09-20LAC29 under−4.5
2026-09-27NO33 under−0.5
2026-10-04KC52 over+18.5
2026-10-11NE28 under−5.5
2026-10-18BUF41 over+7.5
2026-10-25LA44 over+10.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under-0.9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

33.59 books, no line disagreementPX2 · BB · ESPN · HR · DK · FL · PK6 · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 33.5
2026-10-25vs LA44over
2026-10-18vs BUF41over
2026-10-11@ NE28under
2026-10-04vs KC52over
2026-09-27@ NO33under
2026-09-20@ LAC29under
2026-09-13vs MIA30under
2026-01-04vs NO32under
2025-12-29vs LA20under
2025-12-21@ ARI35over
2025-12-11@ TB44over
2025-12-07vs SEA30under
2025-11-30@ NYJ33under
2025-11-23@ NO23under
2025-11-16vs CAR14under
2025-10-26vs MIA31under
2025-09-21@ CAR7under