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Lamar Jackson
BAL vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing Yards · 234.5 at PrizePicks ·
53Signal · under 234.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
PrizePicks 234.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 24.0 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 241.8 yds against 234.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 234.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -89 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | NYJ | 153 under | −81.5 |
| 2025-11-27 | CIN | 246 over | +11.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | PIT | 219 under | −15.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CIN | 150 under | −84.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | NE | 101 under | −133.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | PIT | 238 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | IND | 324 over | +89.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NO | 235 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | DAL | 186 under | −48.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TEN | 222 under | −12.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +27 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
234.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 234.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | vs TEN | 222 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DAL | 186 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs NO | 235 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ IND | 324 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ PIT | 238 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs NE | 101 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CIN | 150 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs PIT | 219 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | vs CIN | 246 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYJ | 153 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ CLE | 193 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ MIN | 176 | under |
| 2025-10-30 | @ MIA | 204 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ KC | 147 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | vs DET | 288 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CLE | 225 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ BUF | 209 | under |