Laquon Treadwell

IND vs MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 29.5 at PrizePicks ·

54Signal · under 29.567% · 6 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance

3 / 9

4 straight under

How the formula reads this game

targets: 3.5 a game recently → 3.7 this game
WR1 on the depth chart (usually WR3) · ×1.05 targets
vs MIA · ×1.04 yds per target
Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 30.0 yds against 29.5 · over 46%, under 54%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.

Last 10 games against 29.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026

Worst miss -31 on the under

Each game against 29.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
2026-09-13	BAL	0 under	−29.5
2026-09-20	KC	61 over	+31.5
2026-09-27	HOU	20 under	−9.5
2026-10-04	WAS	42 over	+12.5
2026-10-11	PIT	34 over	+4.5
2026-10-18	TEN	21 under	−8.5
2026-10-25	MIN	19 under	−10.5
2026-11-01	JAX	18 under	−11.5
2026-11-08	DAL	0 under	−29.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	6 / 9	67% under	+6
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 67% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

29.53 books, no line disagreementDAB · PP · UD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 29.5
2026-11-08	vs DAL	0	under
2026-11-01	@ JAX	18	under
2026-10-25	@ MIN	19	under
2026-10-18	vs TEN	21	under
2026-10-11	@ PIT	34	over
2026-10-04	@ WAS	42	over
2026-09-27	vs HOU	20	under
2026-09-20	@ KC	61	over
2026-09-13	vs BAL	0	under