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Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN @ ARI · Sun 4:05 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 at Underdog ·
51Signal · over 0.567% · 6 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 9Cleared the number in 6 of 9 games, 1 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.1 against 0.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Oct 9, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-10-09 | PHI | 4 over | +3.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | DEN | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | WAS | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | LV | 3 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | GB | 3 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | JAX | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | KC | 2 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | JAX | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | LAC | 1 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 9 | 67% over | +1.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
0.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ LAC | 1 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs JAX | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ KC | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs JAX | 1 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs GB | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ LV | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ DEN | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-09 | vs PHI | 4 | over |