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Malachi Fields
NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 30.5 at DK Pick6 · median 28.5 ·
53Signal · under 30.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.3 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 35.2 yds against 30.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 30.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -52 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL | 25 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | LA | 30 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | TEN | 19 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI | 52 over | +21.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | WAS | 20 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NO | 19 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | HOU | 83 over | +52.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 7 | 71% under | -5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 71% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
12 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 30.5
- betPARX 26.5
- BetRivers 26.5
- Bally Bet 26.5
- BetMGM 27.5
- Underdog 27.5
- ESPN Bet 28.5
- FanDuel 28.5
- Fliff 28.5
- PrizePicks 28.5
- Hard Rock Bet 29.5
- DraftKings 30.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 30.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 25.5 to 26.5
- betPARXMoved from 25.5 to 26.5
- BetRiversMoved from 25.5 to 26.5
- UnderdogMoved from 23.5 to 27.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 23.5 to 28.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 28.5 to 29.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 28.5 to 30.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 30.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ HOU | 83 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs NO | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ WAS | 20 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs ARI | 52 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs TEN | 19 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | @ LA | 30 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs DAL | 25 | under |