← NFL board
Malachi Fields
NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 28.5 at PrizePicks ·
52Signal · under 28.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 7Cleared the number in 3 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.3 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 35.2 yds against 28.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 28.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -54 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL | 25 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | LA | 30 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | TEN | 19 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI | 52 over | +23.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | WAS | 20 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NO | 19 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | HOU | 83 over | +54.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 7 | 57% under | -7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 57% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
12 books · 4 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 30.5
- betPARX 26.5
- BetRivers 26.5
- Bally Bet 26.5
- BetMGM 27.5
- Underdog 27.5
- ESPN Bet 28.5
- FanDuel 28.5
- Fliff 28.5
- PrizePicks 28.5
- Hard Rock Bet 29.5
- DraftKings 30.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 30.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 25.5 to 26.5
- betPARXMoved from 25.5 to 26.5
- BetRiversMoved from 25.5 to 26.5
- UnderdogMoved from 23.5 to 27.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 23.5 to 28.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 28.5 to 29.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 28.5 to 30.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 28.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ HOU | 83 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs NO | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ WAS | 20 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs ARI | 52 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs TEN | 19 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | @ LA | 30 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs DAL | 25 | under |