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Mike Washington Jr.
LV @ SF · Sun 4:05 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 38.5 ·
55Signal · under 38.550% · 4 / 8 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 8Cleared the number in 4 of 8 games, 2 without a result
Underdog 38.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 8.1 a game recently
- targets: 0.8 a game recently
Expected rush + rec yards: 36.1 yds against 38.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.
Last 10 games against 38.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026
Worst miss -31| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 41 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 7 under | −31.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 54 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 17 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 10 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 50 over | +11.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | LA | 27 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | NYJ | 83 over | +44.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 8 | 50% | -2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
38.5Underdog· one book
Line movement
- UnderdogMoved from 46.5 to 38.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 38.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | @ NYJ | 83 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LA | 27 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 50 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 17 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 54 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 41 | over |