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Ollie Gordon II
MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 10.5 at DraftKings ·
70Signal · under 10.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 10Cleared the number in 1 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.6 a game recently
- vs NE · ×0.98 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 2.8 yds against 10.5 · over 27%, under 73%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 10.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -3 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | NO | 0 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | NYJ | 0 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-12-15 | PIT | 0 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CIN | 0 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NE | 2 under | −8.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SF | 0 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | KC | 14 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN | 0 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN | 0 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | NYJ | 0 under | −10.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 9 / 10 | 90% under | +9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 10.5
- BetMGM 9.5
- ESPN Bet 9.5
- DraftKings 10.5 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 10.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 10.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 10.5 (easiest number)
- betPARX 10.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 10.5 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 10.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 10.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- BetMGMMoved from 8.5 to 9.5
- Bally BetMoved from 9.5 to 10.5
- betPARXMoved from 9.5 to 10.5
- BetRiversMoved from 9.5 to 10.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 9.5 to 10.5
- FanDuelMoved from 9.5 to 10.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 9.5 to 10.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 12.5 to 10.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 10.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ NYJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs KC | 14 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ SF | 0 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NE | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs CIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-15 | @ PIT | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ NYJ | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs NO | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs WAS | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-30 | vs BAL | 3 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ ATL | 20 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ CLE | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs LAC | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CAR | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | vs NYJ | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-18 | @ BUF | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NE | 5 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ IND | -1 | under |