Pat Bryant
DEN @ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionableReceiving Yards · 21.5 at DraftKings · median 20.5 ·
Listed questionable with a ankle injury on the week 9 report, full practice. Everything below is history, and history is a weaker guide when a player is listed. Report checked Nov 7, 4:01 AM ET.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 3.0 a game recently → 2.7 this game
- Questionable · ×0.91 targets
- vs CAR · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 31.0 yds against 21.5 · over 50%, under 50%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 21.5 · Nov 6, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -21| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | LV | 43 over | +21.5 |
| 2025-11-16 | KC | 82 over | +60.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | WAS | 42 over | +20.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | LV | 32 over | +10.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | JAX | 42 over | +20.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | LAC | 31 over | +9.5 |
| 2026-09-14 | KC | 42 over | +20.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | JAX | 0 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LA | 44 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SF | 47 over | +25.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 9 / 10 | 90% over | +19 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 90% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
- FanDuel 19.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Fliff 19.5 -125 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 19.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 19.5 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 20.5 -110
- betPARX 20.5 -112
- BetRivers 20.5 -113
- Bally Bet 20.5 -117
- DraftKings 21.5 -109
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 21.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | @ SF | 47 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LA | 44 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs JAX | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-14 | @ KC | 42 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs LAC | 31 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs JAX | 42 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ LV | 32 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ WAS | 42 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs KC | 82 | over |
| 2025-11-06 | vs LV | 43 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ HOU | 20 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs DAL | 40 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NYG | 6 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ NYJ | 22 | over |
| 2025-09-29 | vs CIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ IND | 18 | under |