← NFL board

Pat Bryant

DEN @ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable

Receiving Yards · 19.5 at FanDuel · median 20.5 ·

51Signal · over 19.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
9 / 10Cleared the number in 9 of 10 games

Listed questionable with a ankle injury on the week 9 report, full practice. Everything below is history, and history is a weaker guide when a player is listed. Report checked Nov 7, 4:01 AM ET.

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.0 a game recently → 2.7 this game
  • Questionable · ×0.91 targets
  • vs CAR · ×0.99 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 31.0 yds against 19.5 · over 51%, under 49%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 19.5 · Nov 6, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026

Worst miss -19
19.52025-11-06 vs LV: 43, over 19.5 by 23.5 yds43LV2025-11-16 vs KC: 82, over 19.5 by 62.5 yds82KC2025-11-30 at WAS: 42, over 19.5 by 22.5 yds42WAS2025-12-07 at LV: 32, over 19.5 by 12.5 yds32LV2025-12-21 vs JAX: 42, over 19.5 by 22.5 yds42JAX2026-01-04 vs LAC: 31, over 19.5 by 11.5 yds31LAC2026-09-14 at KC: 42, over 19.5 by 22.5 yds42KC2026-09-20 vs JAX: 0, under 19.5 by 19.5 yds0JAX2026-09-27 vs LA: 44, over 19.5 by 24.5 yds44LA2026-10-04 at SF: 47, over 19.5 by 27.5 yds47SF
Each game against 19.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-06LV43 over+23.5
2025-11-16KC82 over+62.5
2025-11-30WAS42 over+22.5
2025-12-07LV32 over+12.5
2025-12-21JAX42 over+22.5
2026-01-04LAC31 over+11.5
2026-09-14KC42 over+22.5
2026-09-20JAX0 under−19.5
2026-09-27LA44 over+24.5
2026-10-04SF47 over+27.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 109 / 1090% over+21
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

9 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 19.5 · best price FD -114
  • FanDuel 19.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • Fliff 19.5 -125 (easiest number)
  • PrizePicks 19.5 (easiest number)
  • Underdog 19.5 (easiest number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 20.5 -110
  • betPARX 20.5 -112
  • BetRivers 20.5 -113
  • Bally Bet 20.5 -117
  • DraftKings 21.5 -109

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 19.5
2026-10-04@ SF47over
2026-09-27vs LA44over
2026-09-20vs JAX0under
2026-09-14@ KC42over
2026-01-04vs LAC31over
2025-12-21vs JAX42over
2025-12-07@ LV32over
2025-11-30@ WAS42over
2025-11-16vs KC82over
2025-11-06vs LV43over
2025-11-02@ HOU20over
2025-10-26vs DAL40over
2025-10-19vs NYG6under
2025-10-12@ NYJ22over
2025-09-29vs CIN0under
2025-09-14@ IND18under