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Rachaad White
WAS vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ETCarries · 11.5 at BetMGM · median 12 ·
58Signal · under 11.5100% · 10 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
0 / 10Cleared the number in 0 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 7.2 a game recently → 9.1 this game
- RB1 on the depth chart (usually RB2) · ×1.26 carries
Expected carries: 9.1 against 11.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 11.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026
Tightest clearance +0.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | NO | 11 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-11 | ATL | 1 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR | 5 under | −6.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | MIA | 2 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR | 7 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PHI | 7 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL | 7 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | SEA | 8 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYG | 7 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | SF | 7 under | −4.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 10 / 10 | 100% under | +5.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
7 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 12.5
- DraftKings 11.5
- BetMGM 11.5
- ESPN Bet 11.5
- PrizePicks 12
- Hard Rock Bet 12.5 (easiest number)
- betPARX 12.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 12.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 12.5 to 11.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 12.5 to 11.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 12.5 to 12
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 11.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | @ SF | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs NYG | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs SEA | 8 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ DAL | 7 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PHI | 7 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | vs CAR | 7 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ MIA | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ CAR | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-11 | vs ATL | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs NO | 11 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs ARI | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LA | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ BUF | 10 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NE | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NO | 13 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | @ DET | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs SF | 17 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ SEA | 14 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs PHI | 6 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NYJ | 5 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | @ HOU | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ ATL | 2 | under |