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Rachaad White

WAS vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET

Carries · 12.5 at betPARX · median 12 ·

60Signal · under 12.5100% · 10 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
0 / 10Cleared the number in 0 of 10 games
14 straight under

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 7.2 a game recently → 9.1 this game
  • RB1 on the depth chart (usually RB2) · ×1.26 carries

Expected carries: 9.1 against 12.5 · over 40%, under 60%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 12.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026

Tightest clearance +1.5 on the under
12.52025-12-07 vs NO: 11, under 12.5 by 1.511NO2025-12-11 vs ATL: 1, under 12.5 by 11.51ATL2025-12-21 at CAR: 5, under 12.5 by 7.55CAR2025-12-28 at MIA: 2, under 12.5 by 10.52MIA2026-01-03 vs CAR: 7, under 12.5 by 5.57CAR2026-09-13 at PHI: 7, under 12.5 by 5.57PHI2026-09-20 at DAL: 7, under 12.5 by 5.57DAL2026-09-27 vs SEA: 8, under 12.5 by 4.58SEA2026-10-11 vs NYG: 7, under 12.5 by 5.57NYG2026-10-19 at SF: 7, under 12.5 by 5.57SF
Each game against 12.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-07NO11 under−1.5
2025-12-11ATL1 under−11.5
2025-12-21CAR5 under−7.5
2025-12-28MIA2 under−10.5
2026-01-03CAR7 under−5.5
2026-09-13PHI7 under−5.5
2026-09-20DAL7 under−5.5
2026-09-27SEA8 under−4.5
2026-10-11NYG7 under−5.5
2026-10-19SF7 under−5.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 1010 / 10100% under+6.3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

7 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 12.5
  • DraftKings 11.5
  • BetMGM 11.5
  • ESPN Bet 11.5
  • PrizePicks 12
  • Hard Rock Bet 12.5 (easiest number)
  • betPARX 12.5 (easiest number)
  • Bally Bet 12.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

  • DraftKingsMoved from 12.5 to 11.5
  • ESPN BetMoved from 12.5 to 11.5
  • PrizePicksMoved from 12.5 to 12

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 12.5
2026-10-19@ SF7under
2026-10-11vs NYG7under
2026-09-27vs SEA8under
2026-09-20@ DAL7under
2026-09-13@ PHI7under
2026-01-03vs CAR7under
2025-12-28@ MIA2under
2025-12-21@ CAR5under
2025-12-11vs ATL1under
2025-12-07vs NO11under
2025-11-30vs ARI2under
2025-11-23@ LA7under
2025-11-16@ BUF10under
2025-11-09vs NE10under
2025-10-26@ NO13over
2025-10-20@ DET10under
2025-10-12vs SF17over
2025-10-05@ SEA14over
2025-09-28vs PHI6under
2025-09-21vs NYJ5under
2025-09-15@ HOU10under
2025-09-07@ ATL2under