← NFL board7 straight under
Rachaad White
WAS vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ETRushing Yards · 44.5 at FanDuel ·
57Signal · under 44.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 7.2 a game recently → 9.1 this game
- RB1 on the depth chart (usually RB2) · ×1.26 carries
- vs PHI · ×0.99 yds per carry
- Heavier load · ×1.01 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 36.6 yds against 44.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 44.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026
Worst miss -8 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | NO | 53 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-11 | ATL | 20 under | −24.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CAR | 45 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | MIA | 10 under | −34.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | CAR | 23 under | −21.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PHI | 22 under | −22.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL | 43 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | SEA | 35 under | −9.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYG | 18 under | −26.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | SF | 27 under | −17.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% under | +15 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 46.5
- DraftKings 43.5
- DK Pick6 43.5
- ESPN Bet 44.5
- FanDuel 44.5
- Hard Rock Bet 44.5
- PrizePicks 44.5
- betPARX 46.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 46.5 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 46.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 46.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 45.5 to 43.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 45.5 to 43.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
- Bally BetMoved from 45.5 to 46.5
- betPARXMoved from 45.5 to 46.5
- BetRiversMoved from 45.5 to 46.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 44.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | @ SF | 27 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs NYG | 18 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs SEA | 35 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ DAL | 43 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PHI | 22 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | vs CAR | 23 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ MIA | 10 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ CAR | 45 | over |
| 2025-12-11 | vs ATL | 20 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs NO | 53 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs ARI | 7 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LA | 38 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ BUF | 51 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NE | 38 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NO | 35 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | @ DET | 38 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs SF | 65 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ SEA | 41 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs PHI | 17 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs NYJ | 12 | under |
| 2025-09-15 | @ HOU | 65 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ ATL | 14 | under |