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Rachaad White

WAS vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 43.5 at DK Pick6 · median 44.5 ·

57Signal · under 43.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
7 straight under

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 7.2 a game recently → 9.1 this game
  • RB1 on the depth chart (usually RB2) · ×1.26 carries
  • vs PHI · ×0.99 yds per carry
  • Heavier load · ×1.01 yds per carry

Expected rushing yards: 36.6 yds against 43.5 · over 43%, under 57%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 43.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026

Worst miss -9 on the under
43.52025-12-07 vs NO: 53, over 43.5 by 9.5 yds53NO2025-12-11 vs ATL: 20, under 43.5 by 23.5 yds20ATL2025-12-21 at CAR: 45, over 43.5 by 1.5 yds45CAR2025-12-28 at MIA: 10, under 43.5 by 33.5 yds10MIA2026-01-03 vs CAR: 23, under 43.5 by 20.5 yds23CAR2026-09-13 at PHI: 22, under 43.5 by 21.5 yds22PHI2026-09-20 at DAL: 43, under 43.5 by 0.5 yds43DAL2026-09-27 vs SEA: 35, under 43.5 by 8.5 yds35SEA2026-10-11 vs NYG: 18, under 43.5 by 25.5 yds18NYG2026-10-19 at SF: 27, under 43.5 by 16.5 yds27SF
Each game against 43.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-07NO53 over+9.5
2025-12-11ATL20 under−23.5
2025-12-21CAR45 over+1.5
2025-12-28MIA10 under−33.5
2026-01-03CAR23 under−20.5
2026-09-13PHI22 under−21.5
2026-09-20DAL43 under−0.5
2026-09-27SEA35 under−8.5
2026-10-11NYG18 under−25.5
2026-10-19SF27 under−16.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 108 / 1080% under+14
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

10 books · 3 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 46.5
  • DraftKings 43.5
  • DK Pick6 43.5
  • ESPN Bet 44.5
  • FanDuel 44.5
  • Hard Rock Bet 44.5
  • PrizePicks 44.5
  • betPARX 46.5 (easiest number)
  • BetMGM 46.5 (easiest number)
  • BetRivers 46.5 (easiest number)
  • Bally Bet 46.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

  • DraftKingsMoved from 45.5 to 43.5
  • DK Pick6Moved from 45.5 to 43.5
  • PrizePicksMoved from 45.5 to 44.5
  • Bally BetMoved from 45.5 to 46.5
  • betPARXMoved from 45.5 to 46.5
  • BetRiversMoved from 45.5 to 46.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 43.5
2026-10-19@ SF27under
2026-10-11vs NYG18under
2026-09-27vs SEA35under
2026-09-20@ DAL43under
2026-09-13@ PHI22under
2026-01-03vs CAR23under
2025-12-28@ MIA10under
2025-12-21@ CAR45over
2025-12-11vs ATL20under
2025-12-07vs NO53over
2025-11-30vs ARI7under
2025-11-23@ LA38under
2025-11-16@ BUF51over
2025-11-09vs NE38under
2025-10-26@ NO35under
2025-10-20@ DET38under
2025-10-12vs SF65over
2025-10-05@ SEA41under
2025-09-28vs PHI17under
2025-09-21vs NYJ12under
2025-09-15@ HOU65over
2025-09-07@ ATL14under