← NFL board

Rashod Bateman

BAL vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 22.5 at PrizePicks ·

52Signal · over 22.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
PrizePicks 22.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.7 a game recently
  • vs CIN · ×0.99 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 38.6 yds against 22.5 · over 52%, under 48%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 22.5 · Nov 27, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -22
22.52025-11-27 vs CIN: 0, under 22.5 by 22.5 yds0CIN2025-12-07 vs PIT: 23, over 22.5 by 0.5 yds23PIT2025-12-21 vs NE: 0, under 22.5 by 22.5 yds0NE2025-12-27 at GB: 7, under 22.5 by 15.5 yds7GB2026-09-13 at IND: 0, under 22.5 by 22.5 yds0IND2026-09-20 vs NO: 88, over 22.5 by 65.5 yds88NO2026-09-27 at DAL: 37, over 22.5 by 14.5 yds37DAL2026-10-04 vs TEN: 46, over 22.5 by 23.5 yds46TEN2026-10-11 at ATL: 62, over 22.5 by 39.5 yds62ATL2026-10-18 at CLE: 0, under 22.5 by 22.5 yds0CLE
Each game against 22.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-11-27CIN0 under−22.5
2025-12-07PIT23 over+0.5
2025-12-21NE0 under−22.5
2025-12-27GB7 under−15.5
2026-09-13IND0 under−22.5
2026-09-20NO88 over+65.5
2026-09-27DAL37 over+14.5
2026-10-04TEN46 over+23.5
2026-10-11ATL62 over+39.5
2026-10-18CLE0 under−22.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%+4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

22.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 22.5
2026-10-18@ CLE0under
2026-10-11@ ATL62over
2026-10-04vs TEN46over
2026-09-27@ DAL37over
2026-09-20vs NO88over
2026-09-13@ IND0under
2025-12-27@ GB7under
2025-12-21vs NE0under
2025-12-07vs PIT23over
2025-11-27vs CIN0under
2025-11-09@ MIN10under
2025-10-30@ MIA13under
2025-10-26vs CHI51over
2025-10-12vs LA8under
2025-10-05vs HOU0under
2025-09-28@ KC24over
2025-09-22vs DET63over
2025-09-14vs CLE15under
2025-09-07@ BUF10under